Edifice: A History of the National Redoubt

If Jugoslavia and Albania (doubtfoul due to both the cost and the industrial capacity necessary) have a serious nuclear program, the italian weapon nuclear program will continue and will be a lot less controversial.
Russia, PRC, Jugoslavia and in general communist program for bunker and ABM system will be greatly hampered by the economic necessity of the communist nations, all with various degree have suffered greatly and are in need to rebuild and they hardly have money to waste
 
If Albania did have a secret operational chemical weapons program, it did not have the industrial resources to develop an atomic bomb, unless Mao gave it one.

The regimes of African countries like Morocco or Idi Amin Dada were approached by crooks in the 1970s who promised them atomic bombs and will see this type of fraud multiply
 
You seem to have forgotten the role that Cuba played. By1969 Fidel had played up to the Russians and the Chinese. The Russians supplied Cuba with oil and most importantly money. China supplied Cuba with ideological zeal. Fidel openly declared himself a Maoist and spoke eloquently of Mao's Revolution. Moscow did not appreciate this and yanked hard of Fidel's leash. They stopped oil shipments which stalled the Cuban economy. Fidel drew back from his support of Mao sharply and condemned Alexander Dubček's Prague Spring loudly.
 
My only criticism is of the Soviets nuking Guangzhou. Wouldn’t its proximity to Hong Kong, then still a British territory, be considered provocative to the US and NATO? Fallout from nuking Guangzhou has a good chance of killing people in British territory.
 
If Jugoslavia and Albania (doubtfoul due to both the cost and the industrial capacity necessary) have a serious nuclear program, the italian weapon nuclear program will continue and will be a lot less controversial.
Russia, PRC, Jugoslavia and in general communist program for bunker and ABM system will be greatly hampered by the economic necessity of the communist nations, all with various degree have suffered greatly and are in need to rebuild and they hardly have money to waste
The economic consequences will come up a bit later, but Italy was a bit of an oversight. One of my biggest regrets for this project is that I did a lot of research on a couple events and people but didn't put nearly as much work in on other things. Italy will be mentioned a bit further but I think it's one of the weaker parts of the story.

If Albania did have a secret operational chemical weapons program, it did not have the industrial resources to develop an atomic bomb, unless Mao gave it one.

The regimes of African countries like Morocco or Idi Amin Dada were approached by crooks in the 1970s who promised them atomic bombs and will see this type of fraud multiply
Albania really did have a chemical weapons program at the time.

For nuclear weapons, a lot of people have started programs, but it's not clear yet if they will bear fruit. There are a few exciting developments in store for global nuclear proliferation. ;)

You seem to have forgotten the role that Cuba played. By1969 Fidel had played up to the Russians and the Chinese. The Russians supplied Cuba with oil and most importantly money. China supplied Cuba with ideological zeal. Fidel openly declared himself a Maoist and spoke eloquently of Mao's Revolution. Moscow did not appreciate this and yanked hard of Fidel's leash. They stopped oil shipments which stalled the Cuban economy. Fidel drew back from his support of Mao sharply and condemned Alexander Dubček's Prague Spring loudly.
Yeah, I did forget about Cuba, unfortunately. Retroactive explanation: Cuba sat back and watched what happened, before supporting the Soviets at the last minute.
 
Automatic translation is sometimes faulty. ''If Albania did have a chemical program but...'' equals ''Albania had a chemical program but does not have the means...''. Even today, we do not really know where its stocks were probably purchased from China in the 1970s discovered in 2002, no public documentation has been discovered since.

Articles express doubt about the total destruction of Albanian stocks. Copy paste from the French wiki:

Although the Albanian government was claimed to have dismantled its entire chemical arsenal on July 19, 2007, revelations in November 2013 cast serious doubts on this subject. Leaked documents reveal the presence of a military base prohibited from access in Qafë Mollë, in the mountains around Tirana. The leaked document is signed by Defense Minister Arben Imami and states that this base still contains stocks of chemical weapons8. A few days later, two journalists from A1 Report managed to reach a hill near the base and took a series of photos. We can see several hangars and containers, all surrounded by a large fence. The compound is also patrolled by heavily armed men wearing masks and who do not have flags on their uniforms. In addition to armed guards, journalists saw men in chemical suits and gas masks moving from building to building. A firefighter unit is also permanently present. Neither the Albanian government, nor the American government, nor the organizations fighting for the dismantling of chemical weapons have made any statements on this subject. Furthermore, this massive leak of documents classified as secret by the Albanian government revealed many more embarrassing files for Albania. Of the total of 120,000 leaked files, there is a total mention of 6,515 assassinations outside the country ordered by the government and carried out by the Albanian intelligence services since 1945. These files also mention in particular the assassination of Prime Minister Albanian minister Mehmet Shehu, nicknamed "The Butcher" in 1981 by Albanian intelligence services during tensions within the Albanian ruling class
 
Chapter 8
8.​

The economic impacts of the Red War are also important to the story of the national redoubt, as these impacts help explain the successes and failures of different projects. The most obviously affected countries were the Soviet Union and China.

The Brezhnev regime’s economic policies had done much to improve the economic situation of the USSR. The Soviet state led currency reforms and infrastructure projects, usually directed by Alexei Kosygin, who was a strong believer in infrastructure investments. Many of Kosygin’s plans were ineffective, but Brezhnev moderated the policies and provided stability that helped boost growth. The nuclear strikes changed things. Industry in Siberia was disrupted both directly by the nuclear strikes, and secondarily by the breaking of the Trans-Siberian railroad, contamination of materials, administrative uncertainty, materials being commandeered for relief efforts, and general panic. Soviet exports were only a small portion of the country’s overall economy, and they were mostly exported to allies in the Eastern bloc, but they still experienced a moderate decline. The Soviet Union also needed to import more food from other countries, something that was complicated by reduced global crop yields later that year.

The Chinese economy, to contrast, was experiencing a serious decline in 1969. The Cultural Revolution damaged most sectors of the economy, except for agriculture, which was damaged by the nuclear conflict through a combination of climate fluctuations and regional disruptions. The cities targeted by the Soviet nuclear strikes were major industrial centers for China. Modern historians estimate that the Chinese GDP shrank by at least 60% over the course of the war.

Many survivors of atomic attacks on China’s major cities fled to the countryside, and tens of millions of people left the cities. These people fled into the countryside, disrupting the agricultural system that was already under strain Some regions of China were thrown into anarchy, with crime rates skyrocketing and rebel bands coalescing in the countryside.

Exports made up about one seventh of the Chinese economy, especially textiles, food, and energy. Demand collapsed for Chinese textiles and food. Even if demand were there, China’s major ports were destroyed, transport was nearly impossible, and China’s agricultural surplus became a dire famine. China’s energy and mineral resources were lost, as workers fled to the countryside, evading police and martial law. Mao, however, refused to admit the chaos the country was in, and pressed on with his grand designs for bunker complexes and fortifications across the country. The People’s Liberation Army was brought in to enforce martial law and crush revolts across China.

1969 introduced the world to the realities of nuclear winter. In Beijing, firestorms killed millions and sent columns of soot high into the stratosphere, where it reflected sunlight and decreased temperatures. Global temperatures dropped by approximately half a degree Celsius on average. This number is misleading: a slight change in average global temperature that year was caused by chaotic weather patterns across the world. Dry places had rain, rainy places were dry, and everything was in chaos. In most places, the differences were not too extreme, however, and aside from an unusually mild hurricane season, the most important effect was on crops.

Nuclear weapons alter the climate when soot in the upper atmosphere blocks sunlight. This exerts a two-part effect on crops. First, it reduces the amount of sunlight that crops can receive. Second, it alters the weather patterns, which can disrupt the amount of water, wind, and cloud cover that a plant receives. Many crops were also rejected, based on an incorrect belief that they were contaminated. Only crops from areas very near to nuclear detonations were seriously impacted, but that didn’t stop consumers in Europe and the Americas from panicking about fallout in their food supply. This meant that some crops were unable to be sold, and prices became chaotic as rumors altered supply and demand.

After the nuclear detonations, many countries around the world closed themselves to Chinese and Soviet food imports. This was coupled with a 5-10% decrease in staple crop yields, especially in mid-latitude regions like Ukraine and the American Midwest. This was less impactful in the Soviet Union, because most of the country’s agriculture was practiced in the west, but agriculture near Novosibirsk and Omsk was disrupted by the destruction of the cities. In China, the affected areas made up nearly 50% of the country’s total agricultural production, and the mass migrations and destruction of cities made harvesting and planting impossible. Refugees scavenged as they fled, stripping the land bare where they passed.

Mao tasked the PLA with reconstructing the country. Soldiers were put to work assembling buildings and working the fields, but they were also tasked with bringing the refugees back to work. Overall, it is believed that this helped save many lives in China, but the repression was brutal. Mao also redirected some peasants to useless projects in the destroyed cities, further harming the reconstruction. Records show that areas that saw more PLA intervention generally recovered better in the era immediately after the war. Mao, however, preferred not to acknowledge this, and credited successes to strong ideological leadership. He also credited the Red Guards, who combed the countryside, looking for people to put to work, or signs of disloyalty, and performing internal security duties.

…​

Zhi was back where he belonged. He was working in a tiny village, once focused on farming tobacco, but now struggling to bring up a crop of maize. The little wooden buildings spoke of a modest lifestyle, but Zhi appreciated the warmth, the fields, and the peace. Most soldiers reassigned to labor in the countryside near the cities hated the work, worrying about radiation, but Zhi didn’t care. He was glad to be out of the cold, and away from Russia. Radiation might kill him later, but he wouldn’t get frostbite in his fingers from it.

He was also glad to be somewhere where he could get cigarettes. Back at the front, supplies had quickly dried up, especially after the war ended. News was short, but he knew that plenty of factories were wiped off the map, and that the ones that still stood weren’t doing much. Evidently, Comrade Mao did not see tobacco as an essential industry.

Zhi had been put to work assembling shelters for refugees from the cities in the area. Shanghainese wandered aimlessly in the fields, and even in summer some were suffering from lack of shelter. He could see the tired looks in their eyes. Not that anybody was in great shape, whether they slept in a field or not. The lean-tos that the soldiers were assembling, made from whatever materials on hand, weren’t much to look at, but they were better than nothing.

Zhi smoked a cigarette, leaning against an old wooden fence. He could see red guards disciplining one of the refugees. He hated those kids, even if he was supposed to respect their zeal. He didn’t know why Mao had brought them back, especially after they had caused so much trouble for the real soldiers. Then again, China was not in good shape. Zhi was just glad that he wasn’t guarding prisoners in one of the cities. A few men that he knew had shot themselves after being assigned that duty. He wasn’t that sensitive, but watching convicts work themselves to death in a nuclear hellscape didn’t strike his fancy, either.

Not that Huaxi was unscathed. A lot of the plants were sickly, or so he had been told by a villager. Some of the people were, too. A lot of the refugees had died soon after Zhi had arrived in town, and it wasn’t pretty. He remembered one woman, who had screamed and begged while she vomited blood onto his boots. He’d taken her to a medic, who told him to put a bullet in her head. Others were burned badly, carried to Huaxi by their relatives, before dying. One of the first reconstruction duties was throwing their bodies into pits, to be burned. The whole village stank of pork roast. Some of the bodies fell apart while he was carrying them, like meat off the bone, their blackened skin peeling away from pink flesh underneath. A few did that while they were still walking, and the soldiers would shovel their bodies into the burn pits to finish the job. Zhi’s rifle had found a new use in the town of Huaxi.

Compared to that, building shitty huts was easy. Zhi scowled. It wasn’t worth thinking about. He stubbed out his cigarette and went back to work.

…​

Because these losses in crop yields were felt worldwide, it was hard for either of the two directly affected countries to seek much foreign help. Neither country had much to trade with, and international food prices had jumped significantly. The 1969 harvest, in general, would not leave either the USSR or China. Internationally, many smaller countries reliant on imports also began to experience significant hunger. The United States and most of Europe would escape without starvation, but food prices caused pain for many households. In China, it is believed that millions of people starved to death, but nothing more than that can be said with certainty.

A few countries still ended the year better off than when they started. Albania is the clearest winner. By the end of 1969 they had gained new territories and humiliated a regional rival. Fortunately for Albania, it had also captured territories rich in mineral resources, which were the main economic output of the country. Demand for most metals remained strong, with reconstruction helping support their value. Albania’s new gold mines, saw huge surges in demand as wealthy people around the world bought gold in preparation for the apocalypse.

Another winner was the Republic of Vietnam. The Red War did not directly cross over with the ongoing Vietnam War, but it did have major impacts on the conflict. The war and subsequent reconstruction massively decreased the amount of Soviet aid flowing into North Vietnam but didn’t do anything to stop the US from shipping over more supplies. Richard Nixon was, allegedly, planning on withdrawing US forces from Vietnam in 1969, but the Red War was an opportunity. He doubled down, increasing bombing campaigns and maintaining US forces in the area. With the media distracted by the Red War, opposition and outrage over these actions was muted, and South Vietnam began to make significant strategic gains. For the first time, America felt hope that they could emerge victorious.
 
Famous last words...
depend on what consider victory; a surviving South Vietnam is winning enough and frankly with the URSS and PRC in such condition they can't supply North Vietnam...or any other of their client/allied states and group like Egypt, syria and the various guerrilas movements in the rest of the world (well Portugal will be happy)
 
depend on what consider victory; a surviving South Vietnam is winning enough and frankly with the URSS and PRC in such condition they can't supply North Vietnam...or any other of their client/allied states and group like Egypt, syria and the various guerrilas movements in the rest of the world (well Portugal will be happy)
Indeed, but there's a difference between 'life' and 'survival' for South Vietnam. Even if the North can't send as many supplies, that doesn't mean that the Viet Cong will disappear as a home-grown organisation, nor that they'll suddenly lose their genuine popularity. Only systematic, effective reform of the Republic of Vietnam could end the insurgency: as long as it remains a proto-fascist mafia-state, it will never be able to hold the country together outside of defacto American occupation.

If South Vietnam doesn't get its shit together, I fully expect it to go the way of Afghanistan, or Myanmar at best.

On the other hand, if the Americans are able to push for reform more successfully than in OTL, it could very well end up as another South Korea.

In any case, I'm interested in seeing what will come of South Vietnam in this timeline: for an impoverished military dictatorship, it was surprisingly diverse politically, and I feel that it's severely unexplored in alternate history.
 
Indeed, but there's a difference between 'life' and 'survival' for South Vietnam. Even if the North can't send as many supplies, that doesn't mean that the Viet Cong will disappear as a home-grown organisation, nor that they'll suddenly lose their genuine popularity. Only systematic, effective reform of the Republic of Vietnam could end the insurgency: as long as it remains a proto-fascist mafia-state, it will never be able to hold the country together outside of defacto American occupation.

If South Vietnam doesn't get its shit together, I fully expect it to go the way of Afghanistan, or Myanmar at best.

On the other hand, if the Americans are able to push for reform more successfully than in OTL, it could very well end up as another South Korea.

In any case, I'm interested in seeing what will come of South Vietnam in this timeline: for an impoverished military dictatorship, it was surprisingly diverse politically, and I feel that it's severely unexplored in alternate history.
The Red War is post Tet Offensive, so the Viet Cong have been basically defanged as military force and the US army (and allies) are facing directely the vietnam military; i totally agree that without sistematic reform South Vietnam will always remain a mess and the VC will basically rebuild or be reborn under a new name and once the american troops leave come some years and things will be more or less back to square one...but Nixon objective at the moment is declare victory and leave that damned place, continuing the policy of vietnanimization and hope that Saigon will hold for some time after the american retreat so to not being personally associated to the fall and that's doable in this situation but IMVHO the entire internal political mess of SV united to the fact that with the URSS and the PRC being too busy to rebuild to pose a serious threat to south east asia...it will mean that the US government will forget the place and concentratre in other things, remembering it only if NV invade
 
Chapter 9
9.​

It should not, however, be said that the domestic situation in the US was tranquil. 1969 had been a turbulent year for America. The Civil Rights movement was angry and active, the Vietnam war was ongoing, and the public was afraid. Support for the Nixon administration plummeted during the Red War as the public panicked and clamored for help. Nixon had run as a “law and order” candidate, but the public was becoming less concerned about burglars and rioters and more concerned about nuclear attacks.

Apollo 12 launched on-time in the middle of November, providing a brief respite from the grim news making its way through the media. As the fighting in the Balkans wrapped up, the American public calmed down, slightly, but concerns were still at an all-time high.

Nixon’s foreign policy background didn’t help. His planned détente with China and the Soviet Union failed to materialize- the two countries remained hostile to the US, despite their desperate conditions. It is possible that Mao suspected that some agreement had been reached between the USSR and USA, and the Soviet government was worried that NATO would exploit the reconstruction to invade. Meanwhile, the huge number of countries declaring their intent to develop nuclear weapons made the Nixon regime seem weak and incompetent.

Fears of nuclear war dominated the public consciousness. Over the course of 1970, the bunker building industry reached ever greater levels of demand. In the US, about 1.1 million bunkers were built by private individuals, as it seemed like a more important priority than ever. Many families who could not afford a full bunker would work to fortify and improve their basements to act as improvised fallout shelters. Books on nuclear war survival subjects- some more credible than others- flew off the shelf, and the idea of the US government building public shelters to protect the population became more and more popular. Several luxury hotels announced survivalist features like VIP bomb shelters or special air conditioners to protect from radioactive fallout. A few disreputable figures started hawking wares like gas masks (usually working), anti-radiation survival tablets (usually worthless), or home radiation readiness inspections (complete nonsense). Religious leaders experienced a moderate boost in popularity, especially those who preached an apocalyptic gospel.

Behind closed doors, the US military and intelligence community examined the post-war situation closely. CIA agents were sent on daring missions to recover radioactive fallout for study, and US weather stations in Taiwan, Japan, and Korea carefully watched for clues as to the nature of the weapons used. The newly developed SR-71 Blackbird spy planes were flying missions around-the-clock to survey the aftermath of the explosions, with the first flight taking off mere hours after the detonations. The foremost American nuclear and environmental scientists watched the data carefully, interpreting the results.

Another scramble began at around the same time. It was now clear that nuclear weapons could impact the climate, but the question was, how much? Climate scientists were tasked with finding out, and a multitude of important studies were commissioned. The joint NASA-Airforce Project Windchime involved a network of satellites designed to measure atmospheric pollutants and temperatures, to track the movements and changes in particles after the blasts. Climate scientists were dispatched to Antarctica, to try and uncover ice samples with information on climate impacts of volcanic eruptions in the past. Universities around the country worked on modeling the atomic firestorms- and lack of firestorms- in various cities, to try and understand the nuclear winter phenomenon.

In the Pentagon, a debate raged about the future use of nuclear weapons. The Red War had proven that nuclear weapons could crush the enemy’s ability to fight, and that raised problems. The United States in 1969 was not prepared for a nuclear attack. Like China, the country would be overwhelmed and unable to do anything but surrender. But how would this impact nuclear doctrine?

The conflict certainly showed that MAD was legitimate, but the fact that a nuclear war had been fought meant that it couldn’t be relied upon to prevent wars. What if the Soviets and Chinese teamed up for a preemptive strike on NATO? Would the US submarine fleet be sufficient to respond? With the Soviets committing to a massive build-up of missile defense systems, it seemed unlikely. The United States would need something better.

One faction argued for an increase in US missile defense capabilities. The Nixon administration had already promised this as Project Safeguard, and the generals in this faction proposed expanding it to cover a large portion of the country. This would ensure that the US would retain the industrial capacity to continue a war even after a nuclear attack on US cities and would protect the population from a preemptive strike.

Another, similar faction, argued for national bunkerization, or at least sufficient shelters for the entire US military. This was seen as a cheaper alternative to missile defense.

A third faction argued for extreme nuclear development, including a huge arsenal that would survive any nuclear attack, including deeply buried silos, a massive submarine fleet, large numbers of tactical nuclear weapons for sharing with allies, and nuclear-armed satellites. This faction was prominent in the media, with the retired general Curtis LeMay promoting it in many controversial interviews.

The final faction, not existing within the US military establishment in force but acting upon it, argued for global nuclear disarmament. This faction was strongest before the huge number of announcements of nuclear programs. With so many countries pursuing nuclear weapons, despite the NPT, it seemed impossible that disarmament could work, but many of the most idealistic and/or dovish members of American society passionately championed this view. Most military strategists, however, felt that it was unlikely that disarmament would ever bear fruit.

These factions cut across parties and interest groups, although most advocates for disarmament tended to fall within the Democratic party.

Every faction but the supporters of disarmament got its wish in some way. In the middle of 1970, with the midterms coming up and the Nixon administration in dire straits, a new set of programs was announced. The US government promised to dedicate $10 billion each year to constructing bunkers across the country, for both the military and the general public. In addition to this, the US military would spend $5 billion on expanding the Safeguard Program and researching new nuclear defense systems. Finally, the US military would expand its stock of warheads, partly for use with the Safeguard Program (using nuclear weapons to destroy incoming ICBMs) and partly for deployment as strategic weapons. This increased the defense budget by 6%, and the protection budget by 1100%.

These bills were controversial with both foreign policy doves and debt hawks, but they were very popular with the scared, angry American public. They passed congress easily. This marked the beginning of the second generation of bunkers, at least in the West, and a new era of American military policy.
 
Australia was completely untouched by nuclear warheads in the Red War. It was simply too far south, away from the centre of Soviet efforts and Chinese efforts which were primarily directed towards NATO and the US. The Australian Government under Prime Minister William McMahon reversed it's earlier decision to abandon nuclear weapons and endorse the NPT. It set out on a renewed effort to build it's own bombs. Initially it concentrated on naval weapons and then on air force weapons. After 18 months of effort it had it's first bombs. It had joined the nuclear club.
 
Australia was completely untouched by nuclear warheads in the Red War. It was simply too far south, away from the centre of Soviet efforts and Chinese efforts which were primarily directed towards NATO and the US. The Australian Government under Prime Minister William McMahon reversed it's earlier decision to abandon nuclear weapons and endorse the NPT. It set out on a renewed effort to build it's own bombs. Initially it concentrated on naval weapons and then on air force weapons. After 18 months of effort it had it's first bombs. It had joined the nuclear club.
That seems quite plausible...
 
Alright, I did some more research. Australia actually hadn't ratified the NPT until 1973 IOTL, and ITTL they never do. According to a source that I found online (https://www.nonproliferation.org/wp-content/uploads/npr/walsh51.pdf), Australia's reasons for pursuing nuclear weapons are mostly no longer relevant post-Red War. On the other hand, the government at the time seems to have been very pro-nuclear but never really invested in nuclear weapons(https://www.jstor.org/stable/2639906).

It seems like historians' perspectives on the Australian nuclear program have varied pretty wildly (per Opaque Proliferation by Luke Anton) so these sources might be inaaccurate.

On the balance, Australia would most likely start a program ITTL. They weren't a country that I had done a ton of research into, mostly because I was focused on a few other countries, but they'd definitely be in the (much larger) nuclear club going into the 21st Century.
 
Alright, I did some more research. Australia actually hadn't ratified the NPT until 1973 IOTL, and ITTL they never do. According to a source that I found online (https://www.nonproliferation.org/wp-content/uploads/npr/walsh51.pdf), Australia's reasons for pursuing nuclear weapons are mostly no longer relevant post-Red War. On the other hand, the government at the time seems to have been very pro-nuclear but never really invested in nuclear weapons(https://www.jstor.org/stable/2639906).

It seems like historians' perspectives on the Australian nuclear program have varied pretty wildly (per Opaque Proliferation by Luke Anton) so these sources might be inaaccurate.

On the balance, Australia would most likely start a program ITTL. They weren't a country that I had done a ton of research into, mostly because I was focused on a few other countries, but they'd definitely be in the (much larger) nuclear club going into the 21st Century.
Australia was initially very, very, interested in developing nuclear capabilities. It was why it volunteered to host the UK's nuclear tests at Monte Bello Islands on the NW Coast and Emu Fields and Maralinga inland. It created the Snowy Mountains Hydro scheme to power uranium enrichment and the Australian National University for theoretical basis. The British were initially interested but failed, deliberately to share any nuclear secrets with us. The US did not trust initially the British and then were very anti-Australian and refused to share anything with us. By 1965, the Australian Government realised we were very much on the outer and were faced with a decision - go it alone or forget about it. John Gorton, the Prime Minister was about to decide to go it alone when he was deposed and replaced by William McMahon. McMahon was not willing to invest the money required and decided to back the NPT.
 
Chapter 10
10.​

The response to this huge buildup in the US varied around the world. The rest of NATO accepted it with various degrees of apprehension. France and the UK instituted expansions of their own nuclear programs, and most members of NATO began some type of bunkerization program, with the size and scope of these varying dramatically. Interest in missile defense systems remained low in most of NATO, although some countries expressed a desire to buy or host a US missile defense system in the future.

The Soviets, for their part, were outraged. Brezhnev immediately ordered an expansion of the Soviet nuclear arsenal as well as expansions for the Moscow Metro and other public nuclear shelters. Because of the reconstruction efforts and the aftermath of the war, the grand response to the American challenge ended up being delayed significantly. Still, architects, designers, and engineers began work on these new shelters.

China’s reaction was more subdued, but Mao was both angry and afraid, according to accounts of those close to him. The dictator was beginning to show some signs of developing stress-related mental health issues, and he was known to act somewhat irrationally at the best of times. Still his talents as a skilled politician and megalomania seemed unaffected. In late 1970, he announced the “People’s Shield”, an official name for the project he had begun with Beijing’s underground city.

Around the world, the Cold War’s main industrial struggle seemed to be changing from a nuclear arms race to a race to see who could build the most bunkers. The results of this race, in the early 1970s, can be called the “second generation of national redoubts.” Some of the major installations are listed here:

In the United States there were three kinds of bunkers at this point. Medium-sized bunkers, built by the government and other powerful groups (most first-generation bunkers described earlier fall into this category), family-sized bunkers, and large public bunkers. Most of the civil defense installations described earlier were expanded upon or modernized in the 70s. It is estimated that in early 1971, the United States had small, private bunkers with enough capacity for 4 million people, and the public bunkers that had been constructed could hold another 200,000.

As mentioned earlier, bunkers of moderate size started to appear at hotels, government facilities, and schools. These were often primitive facilities, with light blast doors connecting to a reinforced basement with generators, ventilation systems, and food and water supplies. These areas were often understocked and would only hold supplies for a few days. Sometimes, as inflammatory articles occasionally revealed, these installations couldn’t even physically fit all the people they were intended to hold. Some financial institutions announced bunker projects for financial records, including the New York Stock Exchange, to ensure that the economy would not completely cease to exist in the event of a war. This construction was subsidized to some degree by the US government, much to the chagrin of those on the political left.

The government-constructed bunkers tended to be in a somewhat better state than the bunkers constructed by businesses. Government contractors were very familiar with building bunkers for defense purposes, and many bunkers were made from converted and expanded metro, sewer, or highway systems. One popular design was based on attaching blast doors to a highway tunnel, which could be closed in the event of a nuclear war by teams of national guardsmen dispatched to maintain them. Alcoves dug into the sides of the tunnels would hold non-perishable food, water, and collapsible cots. These tunnels were usually designed so that the doors could be closed even if cars were parked in front of them, possibly crushing the cars and the people inside in case of a nuclear panic, a fact that was somewhat controversial when the tunnels first opened. The tunnels were also somewhat short of supplies but were at least much roomier than the basement-style shelters, and often had serious medical, communication, and power generation facilities attached to them.

Underground construction techniques in the United States advanced rapidly at this time, which lead to many cities announcing dual-use subway and bunker systems, designed to both protect from a nuclear attack and improve urban transit times. The bunker features of these subways were often afterthoughts intended to attract federal funding and local votes. Universities saw sudden funding for research on tunneling in deeper rock.

One major, enduring project was the expansion of the Federal Relocation Arc. This system, mentioned earlier in the first generation of bunkers, began to grow under Nixon to a larger and better-connected set of bunkers in the Washington D.C. area. This act also contained a provision for changing the secret service uniform to a gilded and ostentatious one, which would attract ridicule in the years after, but which has become a common symbol of the agency. One notable innovation was the addition of deeply buried light rail tunnels, allowing bunkers to cooperate and move personnel. The digging on the first line began in early 1971, and the total FRA expansion was originally budgeted at 1.3 billion dollars. Many people, both experts and laymen, claim that some black budget money was used on the project.

This major, centralized system was accompanied by Military Base Bunkers across the country. Most military bases at this time already had some underground infrastructure for munitions storage, but these facilities would be greatly expanded to include entire underground barracks, hangars, vehicle garages, and other facilities. A few military bases would, in the early 1970s, relocate almost entirely underground, largely as an experiment.

American industry also participated in its own bunkerization project. Major defense contractors began researching moving their operations underground. Underground factories were not a new concept. During World War II, the Nazi government used slave labor to produce underground complexes for the war effort, and the British experimented with underground factories to shelter important production lines from German bombing raids. During the Early Cold War, emphasis turned towards disguising the specific activities taking place from spy planes, which caused a shift from underground factories to aboveground facilities with camouflaging or obfuscating features. Some special facilities, such as Pantex, which was converted into a nuclear weapons manufacturing facility in the early 50s, were equipped with underground workshops for working with highly sensitive or dangerous materials, but most critical steps in the assembly lines tended to be located above ground.

The post-Red War arms race raised the possibility of a protracted nuclear conflict, as opposed to the lightning wars expected in prior doctrine. While this concept was seen as questionable at best, the Department of Defense quietly commissioned several studies and a handful of think tanks put out papers discussing the possibility of a nuclear-resistant defense infrastructure.

For a few companies, another benefit was increased corporate secrecy and security. While the most violent and intense part of the Civil Rights Movement had passed, and the Vietnam War was out of the limelight, many corporations were worried about political protests interfering with their profits. In early 1969, a group of student protesters had broken into Dow Chemical and trashed many files, and although the incident had not seen a sequel by the end of the year, defense contractors remained worried. Soviet spies were an even more serious concern. American defense secrets were often held in private hands, and these companies would have a much easier time hiding critical information if it was in secure, underground facilities.

Dow Chemical was an early adopter of the factory bunkerization trend. In early 1970 they announced that several of their planned factories would be built underground. This was billed as a public safety move, to ensure that the public would not be exposed to toxic chemicals if an accident occurred, but many environmentalists pointed out that underground chemical plants could still contaminate the soil or water table. The true rationale was to prevent any future break-ins or protests, and to use the location’s security as a selling point for future government contracts.

McDonnell Douglass and Lockheed Corporation followed suit soon after. Boeing investigated the project, but coming off the development of the 747, the company could not afford to invest in new assembly lines, and executives decided to wait. The Martin Marietta company, responsible for producing America’s ICBMs, began close consultation with the federal government, and is believed to have moved at least part of the Titan II assembly line underground for security over the course of 1970.

The Soviet Union, not to be outdone, worked to expand its own public defense infrastructure. Across the Union, especially in the east, near the newly established Chinese border, fortifications went up. While China had lost most of its nuclear arsenal, the Soviets had no doubt that they would not waste time re-establishing it. To prevent another nuclear attack, A-35 missile defense stations and heavy anti-aircraft systems were slated for deployment in the newly captured border regions. The border, however, remained porous, and it appears that Soviet troops were worried about a nuclear warhead being smuggled through the Sino-Soviet border and used to destroy a major city.

Soviet defensive metro projects were expanded. The original dual-use nature of these systems, as hybrid shelters and transportation systems continued, but with a greater focus on their defensive aspects. One interesting development was that the Moscow Metro was equipped with rail sections that never had trains run on them. These were primarily intended to boost the ability of the Metro to protect a population but were also- on paper-equipped to take trains as an alternative route. The Moscow Metro, already the largest such system in the world, was rapidly becoming a convoluted set of tunnels beneath the city. By 1980, the total length of tunnels had more than doubled.

It is almost certain that if the Metro-2 line existed, then it was expanded significantly in the 1970s. These rumors have not been confirmed, but documents released in the decades since then seem to indicate that significant construction was taking place deep underground. It is hard to distinguish the work on the “normal” Moscow Metro from work on the deeper, rumored Metro-2.

The first known underground city project began in early 1970. The first city, Sverdlovsk-60, was founded in the southern Urals. It was not a true “city”, more like an underground village. Officially dedicated to mining, it is believed that the facility was used for manufacturing the plutonium or uranium “pits” for nuclear weapons, and possibly for refining nuclear material, based on documents released by the CIA in the 90s.

Unlike in the US, few citizens of Warsaw Pact countries had the resources to construct private bomb shelters. Public bomb shelter infrastructure was constructed in East Berlin and Budapest in the style of the Moscow Metro, and further shelters were built across Eastern Europe. Long-planned metro projects in Prague, Sofia, and Bucharest were fast-tracked. Outside of the government, many enterprising individuals built shelters with whatever they had available.

The Warsaw Pact’s military planners also began to consider the development of fortifications in the west, along borders with NATO, but the idea was largely rejected. Without strong defenses against aircraft and missiles, these stationary defenses would do very little to prevent the advance of Western troops. Of course, a growing number of voices began to point out that defenses against aircraft and missiles could be added. For the moment, however, no military planners could overcome the serious objections presented. In a line of forts, if one fort is breached, then the others can be quickly bypassed and surrounded. The resulting siege would heavily favor the attackers in the long-term, and the forces used to man these fortifications would be trapped and unable to effectively participate in the conflict. These plans were gradually scaled back to a bunkerization of military bases, like what had begun in the United States. Many Warsaw Pact airbases had significant underground sections, which made creating underground military bases a simpler and better-tested process. A-35 systems were also slated for deployment in the west, but at a lower priority than the Chinese border. Another conflict in the east seemed much more likely.

In China the national government, despite Mao’s bravado, was not up to the task of building any new major bunker system. With the nuclear attacks and invasion, and the ensuing economic collapse, the winter of 1969-1970 was a harsh one. Soviet aid became increasingly important for preventing starvation, much to the frustration of Mao, who reportedly considered ending the aid to increase China’s independence. Although the northern parts of China, occupied by the Soviets, are not the most agriculturally productive in the country, they were net food exporters to the rest of the country. This meant that important food supplies were now being harvested by the Soviets, and so Soviet aid was given to China and then spent on purchasing food from the Soviets. The irony was lost on no-one.

Still, there was little the Chinese government could do, except to try and mitigate the worst starvation. The immediate death of tens of millions in the nuclear exchange provided little relief, because with less mouths to feed came fewer hands to work the fields and a greatly reduced ability to transport crops. Chemical fertilizers became unheard of, and irrigation systems collapsed. In some parts of China, excellent yields were harvested, especially in the rural regions of the country, away from the nuclear attacks. These yields then rotted in grain bins, with nobody able to collect the harvests. Meanwhile, millions starved in the cities in the Second Great Chinese Famine.

The proposed “National People’s Shield” would not be built. The labor force that might have once been mobilized to dig tunnels was focused entirely on surviving another day. Reports of cannibalism, fervently denied by Mao’s government, began to appear around the country.

…​

Xie ducked, and a glass of vodka flew over his head. It smashed against the wall, just above the room’s steel door.

Mao had never been the most hygienic leader, but now, with everything that had happened, he was almost intolerable. The smell of cigarettes permeated the room in which he now lived, and Xie doubted that the bunker’s fans would ever clear the air. Mao laid in a pile of filth, cigarettes, and empty bottles atop his well-appointed bed, shirtless and covered in a patina of grime. Even from across the room, Xie could feel his dress uniform losing its starch as he stood.

“Bastards!” screamed Mao.

Xie collected himself. “Chairman, we believe that once the present crisis—” always the euphemism “—has passed, we believe that the peasants will complete the—”

“Shut up!” shouted Mao. “I am not waiting for this… this sabotage to pass. Fucking Brezhnev, fucking Chiang, fuck!” Spittle flew from the aged, corpulent dictator’s mouth.

Xie stood at rapt attention. There was no point in interrupting this kind of rant. He kept his face a mask. Mao cursed the wreckers, the saboteurs, his incompetent generals, reactionaries, revisionaries, and everything under the sun. But finally, he had run his course, and he had things to say to Xie.

“What’s your command level?”

Xie replied smartly. “Military district commander, recently promoted from sub-district commander.”

Mao nodded and smiled a sickening grin. Xie could see the man’s utterly rotted teeth, black and yellow and green. “Congratulations, you are now commander of the Nanjing military region. I want you to get the construction underway. Shoot any peasant that is too lazy or unreliable to pick up a shovel.”

“Yes, chairman!” Xie saluted.

“I expect to return to schedule by the end of the year. Dismissed.”

Xie stepped out of the bedroom, and into the antechamber. The security officers saluted him, and one handed him the command braid of a military district. As he walked through the fluorescent-lit concrete hallways, his stomach churned. Really, he should be proud. A year ago, he had been commanding a division. But when you reached the top by having every officer killed out from over you, it tended to leave one uneasy.

His quarters were small but lavish for the Maobunker. A bed, a desk, shelves, together filling almost exactly the room’s area, except for a small gap where he could stand. There was a reddish-brown stain on one of the walls, with a bullet hole in the middle.

He packed up his clothes, a few books, and a few trinkets. Then, he carefully pried apart a crack in his cheaply made bedframe. He reached inside and withdrew a roll of rubles and US dollars. He slipped the bills into a hole in the lining of his uniform and left the bunker. The soldiers outside saluted him. Maybe his new position would be useful.

Deserting wouldn’t be easy. A break for the border would be risky. Trying an impossible task for Mao was suicide.

…​

Albania, on the other hand, was in a perfect position for the construction of bunkers, and Hoxha made “total bunkerization of the country” a political goal. Albania was doing well, economically, with the capture of new mineral reserves and a rise in global agricultural prices, boosting the country’s two main exports. The Albanian government began to consider the use of old mineshafts for fallout shelters, to save money and expand on the protection provided by the PZ/QZ series of bunkers. With the possibility of Yugoslavia acquiring nuclear weapons, it seemed that the old bunkers would not be sufficient. The Albanian population would need to be protected from weapons of mass destruction as well.

The use of old mines as bunkers was apparently highly controversial within the Albanian political apparatus. Many officials pointed out that these bunkers would be easy to defend from enemies attempting to enter them, but that they would provide a poor defense against an occupation of the country. Nuclear bunker busters were also seen as a major flaw in the plan, because even with significant reinforcement, the mines might be collapsed by a specially designed and deployed nuclear warhead.

Nevertheless, Hoxha pressed on, purging a handful of officials opposed to this plan. Albania’s extensive political prisons and work camps were used to help dig these bunkers. A classic Albanian story from this era goes like this: a dissident scheduled for execution had his sentence commuted and was sent to work on a sensitive part of a bunker complex. Then, once it was completed, he and the rest of the work crew for that section were executed. No proven examples of this occurred, but it was a popular rumor. These mineshaft bunkers varied wildly from what amounted to tents set up in underground caverns to advanced concrete structures with sophisticated elevator and tram systems.

Eventually a semi-standardized design was reached, with rooms of triple-stacked bunks being the main accommodation. The average person would be allocated about 30 square feet of space (including common areas) and no privacy. Ceilings were usually less than seven feet high. Albania produced bunker space at a feverish rate, and the country had no shortage of disused mines to work with. Bunker spaces for nearly 200,000 people, or 10% of the population, were built over the course of 1970. These mine shelters were not well-regarded by the population.

In addition to these adapted shelters, the Albanian government worked on many purpose-built hardened installations for leaders to shelter in. They also worked to construct numerous underground factories. In some cases, these underground factories were built with connections to the mine shelters, to allow for workers to continue defense production even during a shelter period. The question of how mining could take place with no surface access to dispose of waste was never adequately addressed. Bunker-factories were also used for Albania’s nuclear research program, with huge spaces being set aside for centrifuges even before a good supply of uranium had been found. A literally underground program was the best way to avoid foreign spies or a preemptive strike from Yugoslavia.

Due to the paranoia of the Hoxha period, few records survive from this bunker construction project, but it is believed by most historians that Enver Hoxha planned on using these bunkers for the public in case of a nuclear war or conflict with Yugoslavia, while using the old PZ and QZ type bunkers for the Albanian military.

In Switzerland, bunker projects continued as well. The Swiss government began to construct tunnels between its mountainside fortifications. These tunnels were designed so that they could be permanently sealed off if enemies breached one of the forts, with thick concrete slabs and piles of gravel designed to fall from the ceiling at the push of a button. It is still not known exactly how extensive these connections were, but it is known that railway tunnels were built to connect with most artillery emplacements. This would ensure that these positions would be always supplied with a steady stream of ammunition, no matter what happened on the surface.

The Swiss government also began pioneering research in many of the auxiliary aspects of underground living. A landmark scientific study was conducted by the Swiss military, where volunteers lived underground for several weeks with no access to the outside world, to study the psychology of isolated groups. It was found that serious mood disorders appeared, but that grouping people together in larger numbers helped alleviate this, as did allocating more space for each person in the shelter. Research into air purification, water treatment and reuse, heat management, sump pumping, and tailing management continued, as did research into the more visible topics of blast doors, reinforced concrete construction, and radiation protection.

One subject of concern for the Swiss government was food. Models suggested that specialized nuclear weapons could spread fallout lasting for several years, and so it could be necessary to grow and distribute food while keeping most of the population in a sheltered state. Since no such weapons had been developed to the knowledge of the Swiss government, it was a low-priority issue, but planners started investigating solutions.

In parallel to these defensive underground works, workers were drilling a borehole for the testing of the first Swiss nuclear weapon, which was nearly complete. Any nuclear test would be known to the world, so Switzerland would need to bide its time, and carry out the test only when it was politically appropriate to do so. If the Swiss acted at the wrong time, they might find themselves the enemy of both NATO and the Warsaw Pact, but if they acted at the right time, they could prove themselves a formidable power, ready to protect their independence against any potential threat.

In Scandinavia, various public bomb shelter projects continued, along with the construction of private, household bunkers. These shelters lacked many of the advanced technologies found in Swiss bunkers, but they provided serious protection and covered a large portion of the population.

In India and Pakistan fortified military bases were built, but at a slower pace than in nuclear-armed nations. The two countries were not yet equipped with nuclear weapons, and their main major enemies were each other.
 
Chapter 11
11.​

By the end of 1970, the world was a much more chaotic place than it had been just a year before. The war in Vietnam continued, with the North Vietnamese still on the backfoot. In the Soviet Union’s new border regions, counterinsurgency consumed greater and greater amounts of resources. Few of the troops that had been sent east for the Red War had returned home, with the Red Army’s high command on alert for another Chinese attack. Many soldiers were put on border guard duty, watching out for a hand-delivered nuclear warhead.

On October 13th, 1970, Switzerland detonated a nuclear weapon in a deep borehole, an event which was picked up by German, French, and Italian seismometers. They would then announce a successful nuclear test with a yield of approximately 30 kilotons. This test was followed up by two more tests, on October 23rd and November 5th, which tested successively higher yields up to 60 kilotons.

This was followed by an announcement on November 16th, where Sweden declared itself to be the world’s eighth nuclear power with a test yielding around 25 kilotons. Soviet geologists in Murmansk confirmed readings consistent with a nuclear test, and the USSR released a statement condemning this “blatant threat to world peace and stability”.

In China’s nuclear security apparatus, panic spread like a wildfire over the first half of 1970, as more and more warheads went missing. It is reported that of five warheads left- including incomplete but mostly finished warheads equipped with pits- Mao’s government had lost track of all but one by the end of 1970. Mao’s deepening paranoia led to him moving the one remaining thermonuclear warhead into the Maobunker by July 7th, according to the account of one aide who later emigrated to America.

It is known that one of those missing warheads found its way into the hands of the Democratic Republic of Vietnam, which frustrated Mao but was seen as better than the alternatives. The other three nuclear weapons were missing, possibly in the hands of foreign enemies, organized criminals, terrorists, or—worst of all—Mao’s political rivals. Alarmingly, almost nothing had been heard of these weapons, and Mao became afraid that some member of his government would attempt to unseat him. Mao immediately ordered that all nuclear power plants be shut down and their nuclear materials be moved into secure storage, but it is unclear if this order ever reached the nation’s nuclear plants. Mao would simultaneously order the assassination of Lin Biao and Kang Sheng, both of whom he saw as potentially disloyal. Many other lesser figures were targeted as well. Kang, however, would use his status in the intelligence apparatus of China to intercept the assassination order on himself and Lin Biao, who he would inform of the plot.

Lin Biao openly declared rebellion on July 22nd, calling the Mao government incompetent and counterrevolutionary. Kang Sheng would feign loyalty for a few days longer, quietly eliminating a few of Mao’s most loyal officials. Xie Fuzhi and Wang Dongxing were killed under suspicious circumstances, Chen Xilian narrowly escaped an attempt on his life, and Xiong Xianghui disappeared for several days but reappeared with no apparent injury.

Lin-aligned leaders weren’t safe either; Huang Yongsheng, head of the PLAAF, was poisoned by an unknown force (probably Kang) and Wu Faxian fell very ill but survived what was most likely another poisoning. Chen Boda, a prominent ideologue aligned with Lin Biao, died as well, although most historians believe that the car crash that claimed his life was a product of the general chaos in China rather than an assassination. On July 26th, Kang Sheng declared his own rebellion.

…​

Sergeant, squad-leader Zhi Yong’s world had changed surprisingly little when Lin Biao revolted. Still working in a village near the border, his choice had been clear: Join or die.

Maybe, before the war, he would have fought for Mao. Not now. Zhi mused as he marched, thinking about the madness that he was a participant in. He’d marched north to shoot communists for communism, and now he was going to march east and shoot some more communists, maybe even for a cause that was at least some shade of red. This time, at least, he was in charge of a squad.

It was a sorry excuse for a military unit. As they marched through the countryside, he watched the men under his command slouch and stumble. Many were carrying rusty rifles from the second World War, and Zhi was pretty sure that they hadn’t been fired since then. He hoped it wouldn’t come to that. Whenever one of his soldiers stumbled too much, or fell behind, Zhi would chastise the man. What he was really worried about was fighting. They had drilled together for less than a week, and at least a few of them would fall apart under fire. But on the road, there was no time to drill. He just focused on getting them there.

Even though he had been promoted, Zhi didn’t know much, but he could make some assumptions. They were going to fight with the Maoists. There would be casualties. Mao would send in the kids. Zhi tried not to think about it, but sometimes, he had nightmares.

…​

At this point, China was theoretically divided into three rival governments. Mao ruled the area around Beijing, Hebei, Tianjin, and Shandong. Lin Biao controlled large territories to the north and west, where army presence was strong, and Kang Sheng ruled what was left over. As one might guess from the wide variety of maps present in history books, the situation was anything but simple. By early August, the countryside was in revolt. Groups ranging from communes to whole provinces would declare themselves independent and then be destroyed. Communists, fascists, anarchists, minority groups, millenarians of all stripes, local notables turned warlords, anybody who could organize one hundred people into a fighting group had the opportunity to seize a piece of China. The only exception was in the core territories of the “big three” warlords, the colonial territories of Macau and Hong Kong, or where the Taiwanese began their incursion.

The timeline of events around the Second Chinese civil war is incomplete, but Taiwanese records that have been released show that the first landing parties came ashore on August 10th in Fujian province. It appears that the United States was not informed of this invasion, but the Nixon administration, like with the Red War before, tacitly supported the Republic of China by maintaining defensive troops in Taiwan. At the beginning of 1970, the Republic of China had no chance against the People’s Republic. By August, the opposite was true. Estimates place the Taiwanese military at 300,000 men, whereas each of the warlords could muster perhaps 200,000 soldiers, in poor condition.

Fujian was, in some respects, the ideal place to begin an invasion. With the countryside in a state of total chaos, many towns and communes accepted the Republican forces with open arms. On the flip side, some communes remained loyal to Mao, and some bandits even began calling themselves soldiers of the PLA. Chiang Kai-Shek’s forces began to make quick advances, with further landings in Zhejiang and Guangdong provinces throughout August. By September, most of the Republic of China Army was deployed to mainland China, even though the army had met essentially no resistance.

The three warlords were busy, gathering their strength and organizing their forces. The sudden division of the country had led to many commanding officers being forced to choose who to fight for. The PLA was badly damaged in the Red War, with an estimated 400,000 soldiers being killed by direct or indirect effects (many soldiers survived the fighting but died before reaching home of various causes). These casualties were concentrated in elite and well-equipped units.

During the famine, many soldiers were called to work as agricultural laborers, to suppress unrest, or to help with reconstruction of cities. When the country was divided between Lin, Kang, and Mao, divisions sent to perform local labor “defected” en masse, largely forgotten by the chain of command and poorly equipped. These soldiers would essentially return to civilian life, with approximately 650,000 soldiers from these divisions disappearing. Interviews with Chinese expatriates from the 70s and onwards report that most of these soldiers either kept working in their original field, as farmers, laborers, or police, or sought work in local agricultural units. With loss of pesticides and fertilizers, these extra hands would be needed to prevent starvation.

Soldiers from especially disorganized units became bandits in unknown numbers, a career change that tended to result in a short life expectancy. Estimates for this number vary wildly but range from a mere 50,000 to 200,000 soldiers turned to banditry. These numbers are muddied by the huge numbers of “petty warlords” that cropped up, often based around military units. With the 1965 abolishment of military ranks, these warlords tended to rule based on charisma and skill instead of preexisting hierarchies, and some were able to survive for long periods, especially in the mountainous regions of Yunnan and Guangxi, far from the centers of power of the big three. Perhaps 400,000 soldiers at most participated in these fiefdoms.

It is believed that 50,000 soldiers died of exposure, starvation, or routing while trying to reach the warlord to which they pledged allegiance. In general, professional soldiers were willing to fight for Kang or Lin but would not for Mao. Informal, ideological militia units, mostly composed of highly indoctrinated students or particularly loyal soldiers, flocked to Mao. Many soldiers would pledge allegiance to a local warlord, and then take the first opportunity to defect, or would hide themselves in civilian clothes, something which was often of limited benefit- many warlords instituted heavy conscription. Notably, under Mao Zedong’s conscription drive, children as young as 12 were pressed into service.

All this meant that each warlord had limited forces to muster, and much mustering to do. Lin Biao and Kang Sheng both reinstituted military ranks and reorganized their forces on this model almost immediately. This was unpopular with some low-ranking troops but was generally accepted without incident. Mao re-instituted the Red Guards as a paramilitary organization, with mandatory service for all youth older than 12 not involved in educational activities. The state of famine limited the troop callups. This was milder in Mao’s territory, which consisted of largely agricultural land, but was more severe for Lin Biao who could barely afford to keep his troops on half-rations. The civilian population, in general, fared worse.

The health of the Chinese warlords was also in question. Mao Zedong was an old man in poor health, a smoker, and was beginning to lash out at those around him. It has been speculated that he might have suffered from a stress-induced mental break or disorder, but others have instead theorized that the collapse of China may have revealed existing tendencies. Mao continued to purge his government, having anybody who displeased him- even momentarily- executed by the Red Guards, who remained fanatically loyal to him. Kang Sheng had been ill for some time with bladder cancer, although his newfound power seemed to reinvigorate him, according to (unreliable) sources in his administration. Lin Biao had been suffering from various mental and physical illnesses since the 1940s, including schizoid personality disorder and bipolar disorder, and the warlord period seemed to aggravate these conditions. Many scholars believe that Lin may have been largely a figurehead for his close associates, including his wife, Ye Qun, but it also seems that he may have had periods of intense activity and that, like Kang Sheng, something about the conflict had brought him closer to reality.

To help alleviate starvation in his territories, Lin Biao would ultimately reach out to the Soviets, possibly at the prodding of his advisors. Sensing the opportunity to keep China divided or even cultivate a friendly regime, Brezhnev gladly agreed to recognize the Lin government and begin sending the aid shipments (which had been stopped at the beginning of the warlord period) there. These shipments would mostly consist of food, interspersed with weapons and military advisors.

In each warlord, there was a final, alarming development. The resources to refine nuclear material and produce nuclear weapons had vanished, but nuclear materials remained. After seeing the destructive power of the fallout from the Red War, many of the warlords looked to acquire their own weapons of mass destruction, even if they could only get their hands on dirty bombs. Nuclear waste from power plants became a valuable resource as each warlord scrambled to produce dirty bombs, which could create some of the fear of an atomic bomb for a much lower price.

Still, as the Taiwanese advance slowed, and winter approached, it appeared that the fighting in China had stopped, for a time.
 
Oh my...
China simply can't get a break, can it?

Well, at least Lin Biao's faction and the Republicans will provide more sane (and internationally-appreciated) leadership if they win.
 
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